06/04/2026
KI eine (unvollständige) Timeline / Sammlung in Zitaten
Eine fortlaufende Sammlung von Aussagen rund um künstliche Intelligenz — mit zusätzlichem Kontext und persönlicher Einordnung aus IT-Sicht.
Eigene Meinungen und Einschätzungen sind klar als solche markiert.
Begonnen hat die Zusammenstellung ungefähr im Mai 2025. Ab diesem Zeitpunkt finden sich darin auch vermehrt persönliche Kommentare.
Eine Timeline mit allen veröffentlichten LLMs inklusive Datum: https://llmgateway.io/timeline
2022
30.11.2022 OpenAI hat GPT-3.5 Turbo released
30.11.2022
“We’ve trained a model called ChatGPT which interacts in a conversational way… We are excited to introduce ChatGPT to get users’ feedback and learn about its strengths and weaknesses. During the research preview, usage of ChatGPT is free.”
- OpenAI (https://openai.com/index/chatgpt/)
05.12.2022
We will have to monetize it somehow at some point; the compute costs are eye-watering
- Sam Altman (https://x.com/sama/status/1599668808285028353?s=20)
19.12.2022
you don’t need to have a PhD in computer science anymore to build an AI application
- Kevin Scott (CTO, Microsoft) (https://news.microsoft.com/source/features/innovation/a-conversation-with-kevin-scott-whats-next-in-ai/)
2023
23.01.2023
The age of AI is upon us, and Microsoft is powering it.
- Satya Nadella (Chairman & CEO, Microsof) (https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/investor/events/fy-2023/earnings-fy-2023-q2)
11.02.2023
There will come a point where no job is needed.
- Elon Musk (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2meHtrO1n8)
20.03.2023
I think that the magnitude of the AI alignment problem has been ridiculously overblown & our ability to solve it widely underestimated.
- Yann Lecun (Chief AI Scientist, Meta) (https://www.facebook.com/yann.lecun/posts/10159869817897143)
27.03.2023
GPT-4 exhibits human-level performance on various professional and academic benchmarks
- OpenAI (GPT Technical Report Paper https://cdn.openai.com/papers/gpt-4.pdf)
27.03.2023
Artificial intelligence (AI) could replace the equivalent of 300 million full-time jobs
- Goldman Sachs Research (https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-65102150)
01.05.2023
I could easily see 30% of back‑office roles such as HR getting replaced by AI and automation over a five‑year period.
- Arvind Krishna (Chairman & CEO, IBM) (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-01/ibm-to-pause-hiring-for-back-office-jobs-that-ai-could-kill)
21.05.2023
AI won’t take your job. But it will transform it and create new ones
- Yann Lecun (Chief AI Scientist, Meta) (https://x.com/ylecun/status/1660359940291035137?s=20)
21.08.2023
Copilot is essentially a new category of computing… We believe Copilot will fundamentally transform our relationship with technology and usher in the new era of personal computing
31.09.2023
Copilot takes away that boilerplate, that mundane task, and gives you more time to focus on the things that are really fun… Copilot writes almost half the code.
- Thomas Dohmke (CEO Github) (https://www.madronavl.com/stories/github-copilot-and-the-evolution-of-programming-insights-from-thomas-dohmke)
2024
12.02.2024
the programming language is human: everybody in the world is now a programmer
- Jensen Huang (https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/world-governments-summit/)
27.02.2024
Collaboration between humans and intelligent machines will redefine the possibilities of innovation Thomas Dohmke (https://github.blog/news-insights/product-news/github-copilot-enterprise-is-now-generally-available/)
02.05.2024
“AI is going to eliminate a lot of current jobs, and there will be classes of jobs that totally go away. AI is also going to change the way a lot of current jobs function, and it’s going to create entirely new jobs.”
08.06.2024
Some creative jobs maybe will go away, but maybe they shouldn’t have been there in the first place.
22.07.2024
I think we’re going to live in a world where there are going to be hundreds of millions or billions of different AI agents eventually, probably more AI agents than there are people in the world.
- Mark Zuckerberg (https://x.com/rowancheung/status/1815965843408158972)
2025
10.01.2025
an AI that can effectively be a sort of mid-level engineer
10.03.2025
AI is writing 90 percent of the code
29.04.2025
I’d say maybe 20%, 30% of the code that is inside our repos today and some of our projects are probably all written by software.
30.04.2025
Cloud and AI are the essential inputs for every business to expand output, reduce costs, and accelerate growth
28.05.2025
AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs
Ich denke es könnte ein Problem werden wenn Firmen anfangen keine Juniors mehr einzustellen. Wer ist der Senior in ein paar Jahren wenn keine Senior mehr ausgebildet werden ? Wie kann diese Supply Chain wiederhergestellt werden wenn sie einmal unterbrochen wurde ?
Und am wichtigsten meiner Meinung, wann hat ein Junior jemals einen direkt Mehrwert gebracht, meiner Meinung war der junior erst “Wirtschaftlich Sinnvoll” wenn dieser autark und produktiv arbeiten konnte. Daher wurde der Junior eingestellt um Mid-level / Senior zu werden vorher hat er nicht wirklich mehr Wert erwirtschaftet.
2026
27.01.2026
AI may cause an “unusually painful” shock to the job market because “the speed of advancements in AI is considerably quicker than that of former technological revolutions.”
02.03.2026
Rakuten cut their time to market by 79%, from 24 days down to 5 by using Claude Code.
- @_catwu (X) (https://x.com/_catwu/status/2028603856163426522)
09.04.2026
Every customer experience will be reinvented by AI
- Andy Jassy (President & CEO, Amazon) (https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-ceo-andy-jassy-2025-letter-to-shareholders)
04.05.2026
If you automate 90% of the job… then everyone does the 10% of the job. And the 10% kind of expands to be 100% of what people do and kind of 10xs their productivity.
26.05.2026
I don’t think we’re going to experience the kind of jobs apocalypse that some companies in our sector predict… I’m delighted to be wrong about this.
26.05.2026
If you’re not actually able to draw a direct line to how [many] useful features and functionality you’re shipping to your users, that trade becomes harder to justify
- Andrew Macdonald (Uber CEO) (https://fortune.com/2026/05/26/uber-coo-ai-spending-tokens-claude-code/)
Eine allgemeine Frage dich ich mir gestellt habe: Wenn es jetzt so einfach wie noch nie ist Code zu “schreiben”, wo sind die ganzen Apps ? Wo sind die ganzen neuen Features, wo sind die ganzen neuen Startups ? Eine interessante Studie fasst es sehr gut zusammen:
Die Studie untersucht, wie sich verschiedene Generationen von KI-Tools auf die Produktivität von über 100.000 GitHub-Entwicklern auswirken. Sie zeigt, dass KI die reine Coding-Aktivität stark erhöht, besonders bei autonomen Coding-Agents, diese Produktivitätsgewinne aber nur teilweise in fertige Projekte, Releases oder tatsächlich genutzte Software übergehen.
Der Grund dafür scheint zu sein, dass menschliche Engpässe in der Produktionskette die Effekte abschwächen: KI kann bestimmte Aufgaben stark beschleunigen, ersetzt aber menschliche Arbeit nicht vollständig, sondern ergänzt sie vor allem.
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w35275/w35275.pdf
01.06.2026
GitHub Copilot is moving to usage-based billing Github (https://github.blog/news-insights/company-news/github-copilot-is-moving-to-usage-based-billing/)
Es sind auch die Modell multiplier auf welcher basis die Token für die Request berechnet werden erhört worden. Hier werden API Kosten quasi 1 zu 1 weiter gegeben https://docs.github.com/de/copilot/reference/copilot-billing/models-and-pricing#model-multipliers-for-annual-copilot-pro-and-copilot-pro-subscribers
Wie sehr es sich jetzt noch lohnt > 80% der Aufgaben an Agenten zu geben wird sich rausstellen. Ist die Produktivität einen Mitarbeiters wirklich so viel höher das die Kosten gerechtfertigt sind ?
https://fortune.com/2026/05/26/uber-coo-ai-spending-tokens-claude-code/
05.06.2026
We believe it would be good for the world to have the option to slow or temporarily pause frontier AI development to enable societal structures and alignment research to keep up with the advance of the technology
08.06.2026
I think actually things will move maybe even by the end of this year to where you don’t even bother doing coding. The AI just creates the binary directly… Traditional coding is an intermediate step that actually will not be needed, probably by, I’d say, the end of this year.
???
12.06.2026
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees.
22.06.2026
We Can’t Let AI Giants Eat the Economy Satya Nadella (https://thenextweb.com/news/nadella-ai-giants-eat-economy)
Further Reads
- https://llmgateway.io/timeline
- https://openai.com/index/chatgpt/
- https://x.com/sama/status/1599668808285028353?s=20
- https://news.microsoft.com/source/features/innovation/a-conversation-with-kevin-scott-whats-next-in-ai/
- https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/investor/events/fy-2023/earnings-fy-2023-q2
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2meHtrO1n8
- https://www.facebook.com/yann.lecun/posts/10159869817897143
- https://cdn.openai.com/papers/gpt-4.pdf
- https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-65102150
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-01/ibm-to-pause-hiring-for-back-office-jobs-that-ai-could-kill
- https://x.com/ylecun/status/1660359940291035137?s=20
- https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2023/09/21/announcing-microsoft-copilot-your-everyday-ai-companion/
- https://www.madronavl.com/stories/github-copilot-and-the-evolution-of-programming-insights-from-thomas-dohmke
- https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/world-governments-summit/
- https://github.blog/news-insights/product-news/github-copilot-enterprise-is-now-generally-available/
- https://mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-to-matter/sam-altman-believes-ai-will-change-world-and-everything-else
- https://www.techradar.com/pro/quote-of-the-day-by-ex-openai-cto-mira-murati-some-creative-jobs-maybe-will-go-away-but-maybe-they-shouldnt-have-been-there-in-the-first-place-on-the-rise-of-ai-and-the-future-of-work
- https://x.com/rowancheung/status/1815965843408158972
- https://podscripts.co/podcasts/the-joe-rogan-experience/2255-mark-zuckerberg
- https://www.cfr.org/event/ceo-speaker-series-dario-amodei-anthropic
- https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/29/satya-nadella-says-as-much-as-30percent-of-microsoft-code-is-written-by-ai.html
- https://news.microsoft.com/source/2025/04/30/microsoft-cloud-and-ai-strength-drives-third-quarter-results-2/
- https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/27/dario-amodei-warns-ai-cause-unusually-painful-disruption-jobs.html
- https://x.com/_catwu/status/2028603856163426522
- https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-ceo-andy-jassy-2025-letter-to-shareholders
- https://fortune.com/2026/05/05/dario-amodei-jevons-paradox-will-ai-wipe-out-white-collar-jobs/
- https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/openais-altman-says-ai-unlikely-lead-jobs-apocalypse-2026-05-26/
- https://fortune.com/2026/05/26/uber-coo-ai-spending-tokens-claude-code/
- https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w35275/w35275.pdf
- https://github.blog/news-insights/company-news/github-copilot-is-moving-to-usage-based-billing/
- https://docs.github.com/de/copilot/reference/copilot-billing/models-and-pricing#model-multipliers-for-annual-copilot-pro-and-copilot-pro-subscribers
- https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/anthropic-calls-for-pause-of-global-ai-development
- https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/elon-musk-coding-top-job-163850758.html
- https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access
- https://thenextweb.com/news/nadella-ai-giants-eat-economy